Reddit comments from April 2020

Six months apart.

5/9/20 and 1/15/21 are eight months apart. I expect BTC to move from aruond \~3.5k to 8.5k during those eight months then reach an all-time-high in another year.

Glad someone actually liked it.

Yes, the entire point is to have a general understanding of where BTC may go and when. No one can accurately predict the future, it's simply impossible.

Thanks!

No, it's going down.

May do that in the coming days. First I want to do a price analysis as to what SPY will actually hit in November.

Of course! Thanks for asking.

There are two components to this TA. The first is Time, the second, which I have not done yet, is Price. Do not conflate the two. This post is about Time only. All it tells you is "when" a very specific thing will happen, which is the…

No, I believe we could begin crashing as soon as next week, but that it will reach a yearly low on that particular date.

The time and price symmetry analysis is based on the presumption that we are dealing with a real market. As such, the predictions I have made have been on the conservative side, both with regards to time and price, due to my awareness of the blatant manipulation going on.

Regardless, unless the market becomes plainly nationalized, it will have to crash. If it is not plainly socialized, then it will have to abide by price and time structure.

As we approach the dates and as time goes on, I will continuously update my predictions. These are just the ones that are the most likely as of right now according to my understanding. But, even as you can see in my rudimentary Trading View chart, I have various possibilities mapped out.

The important thing is not to fall in love with a position or perspective and trade according to the data. Once you see an upward trend, no matter how illogical, make your calculations respecting the trend. Same with a downward trend.

Regardless of whether SPY goes to 290 or downturns tomorrow, the final prediction holds, honestly. The only way it gets tossed out is if SPY reaches retracement levels indicative that the bear market is over, which is a near impossibility for any free market. Bear markets cannot go under 15 months, typically. We are only two months in.

It's just the inevitable outcome of fractional reserve banking, which a subset of economists have always warned against. We are living through the beginning stages of a worst-case scenario, though it may not actually get as bad as some believe.

In part 1 I wrote, "For the purposes of this DD, we will assume the market has a structure... ." There is no such thing as randomness. There are just patterns we have not quantified yet, look at chaos theory. I believe time and price symmetry is the best quantification we have so far, and were it to be put in an AI free energy (Karl Friston) system, it would get more accurate - potentially to the point where we could define it mathematically.

If you disagree with that premise, then this isn't for you, but thanks anyways for sharing your opinion.

Glad that it was useful.

No...my previous predictions have not been affected because they were so far out.

Yes.

No problem

I had predicted that yesterday would be the high and that we are on the way down. I believe we have completed the ABC swing and are now on the omega down to 217. There will be green days, but overall I expect an average of -2% a day until we get there.

Thursday and Friday are usually the highs for the week, so I believe that we should see a significant downturn in the next four days. (Thursday, Friday, Monday, or Tuesday). It may take as long as early May, however I am inclining for it to occur earlier.

I haven't even sat down to do any analysis yet, honestly. What I can tell you is that SPY has its weekly low between Monday and Wednesday. There is usually a sell off at open lasting until about 10am. The best strategy is to buy puts on Thursday or Friday when it has it's weekly high, sell them on Monday or Wednesday when it has the low.

Then buy calls right after you sell the puts.

I'm talking calls and puts only slightly OTM. Use tight stop losses, like 20%. Once you see a major downturn, sometime in the next two weeks, switch to puts.

That's all I can offer really. The market has a tendency to knock out as many traders as possible.