Reddit reply in r/MuslimLounge: there are many chaste muslims out there and you — October 19, 2022 | Ali Shukri Amin
Original discussion: there are many chaste muslims out there and you.
Though no exact statistics are known, a paper in the American sociological review hypothesizes:
"Model 3 includes the percentage Muslim and tests the hypothesis that as the percentage Muslim within a country increases, ever married residents will be less likely to report premarital sex (Hypothesis 5a). In support of this hypothesis Model 3 shows that a 1 percent increase in the percentage Muslim is associated with a 2 percent decrease in the odds of reporting premarital sex. To better understand the magnitude of the effect, we produced predicted values for a married Muslim woman who is not working, lives in a rural area, and has been assigned the mean on all other variables included in Model 3. If this woman lives in a nation where 1 percent of residents are Muslim, her predicted probability of reporting premarital sex would be .72. In a nation where 23 percent of residents are Muslim, which is the sample mean, the woman’s predicted probability would be .61. Finally, in a nation where 90 percent of residents are Muslim, which is the sample maximum, the woman’s predicted probability of reporting premarital sex would tumble to .28."
Of course, solitary statistics based on limited sample size should be taken with a large grain of salt. But if this statistic has any connection to reality, the predicted likelihood of reported pre-marital sex of Muslims in a nation where only one-percent of the society is Muslims, is 72%, which is very high. Muslims currently make up 0.6% of the population in the United States according to Pew Research. Whether these statistics are accurate or not, the Muslim community should be very concerned about the possibility of zina, which is a major sin. It is a sin so serious that Allah has legislated severe punishments for it in the Qur’an.
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